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Sports

2019 U.S. Open odds, picks: Tiger Woods projection from simulation that nailed the PGA Championship - CBS Sports

Winning a major championship is a defining moment in a golfer's career, and a number of players will be seeking their first major title at Pebble Beach Golf Links this week at the 2019 U.S. Open. Patrick Cantlay has the shortest 2019 U.S. Open odds of any player without a major title at 16-1, while Rickie Fowler, Xander Schauffele, Jon Rahm are all exciting young players looking for their first major listed at 25-1. However, there are few substitutes for experience competing on the major championship stage, so it should come as no surprise that Brooks Koepka (8-1), Dustin Johnson (8-1), Rory McIlroy (10-1) and Tiger Woods (10-1) are among the favorites to hoist the U.S. Open 2019 trophy on Sunday. Other past major champions like Jordan Spieth (14-1), Justin Rose (20-1), Justin Thomas (25-1) and Jason Day (25-1) will be looking to add to their collection this week. With such a loaded field, making your 2019 U.S. Open picks could be a challenge. That's why you'll want to check out the 2019 U.S. Open projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine before making your selections.

SportsLine's prediction model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has nailed five majors entering the weekend, including Koepka's historic victory at the 2019 PGA Championship. It also called Tiger Woods' deep run in last year's PGA Championship despite being a 25-1 long shot. 

The model has been spot-on in the 2018-19 season as well. It was high on champion Rory McIlroy at the Players Championship, projecting him as one of the top two contenders from the start. It also correctly predicted Koepka's (9-1) victory at the CJ Cup earlier this season. Additionally, it correctly called Bryson DeChambeau's (9-1) seven-shot victory at the Omega Dubai Desert Classic. Anyone who has followed the model is way up.

Now with the 2019 U.S. Open field set, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times and the results were surprising. One huge shocker the model is calling for: Woods, a three-time champion, reigning Masters champ, and one of the top Vegas favorites, barely cracks the top 10.

With a revised PGA schedule this season, Woods elected not to play between the Masters and PGA Championship, and the layoff looked like it might have cost him. After winning at Augusta, Woods failed to make the cut at Bethpage Black despite entering the week as the betting favorite because he hit just 46 percent of fairways and gave back 0.713 strokes on the greens. He missed the cut at the PGA Championship much to the dismay of backers everywhere.

However, last week he was able to shake it off and get back on track with a top-10 finish at the Memorial. That being said, Woods hasn't finished in the top 10 at the U.S. Open since 2010 and has missed the cut the last two times he's played this event. Given his inconsistency off the tee and the difficulty he's had playing out of thick rough because of chronic back issues, there are far better values in a loaded 2019 U.S. Open field than the 10-1 premium you'll need to pay.

Another surprise: Xander Schauffele, a 25-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

Schauffele might not be the household name some of the other players that will be competing at Pebble Beach are, but the 25-year-old has made plenty of noise this season on the PGA Tour. He's finished on top of the leaderboard twice this season already, winning the WGC-HSBC Champions and Sentry Tournament of Champions. He's also earned top-10 finishes at the Masters and Waste Management Phoenix Open. 

And while his driving accuracy has been an issue at times, Schauffele has all the tools needed to climb the 2019 U.S. Open leaderboard because he can post low scores. He currently ranks in the top 15 in both scoring average (69.917) and birdie average (4.27), which should give him a strong shot at winning his first major this week at Pebble Beach.

Also, the model says four other golfers with 2019 U.S. Open odds of 20-1 or longer make a strong run at the title, including a monster long shot. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big.

So who will win the 2019 U.S. Open, and which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the latest 2019 U.S. Open odds below and visit SportsLine now to see the 2019 U.S. Open projected leaderboard from the model that nailed the winners of five golf majors.

Brooks Koepka 8-1

Dustin Johnson 8-1

Tiger Woods 10-1

Rory McIlroy 10-1

Jordan Spieth 14-1

Patrick Cantlay 16-1

Justin Rose 20-1

Justin Thomas 25-1

Rickie Fowler 25-1

Adam Scott 25-1

Jon Rahm 25-1

Jason Day 25-1

Xander Schauffele 25-1

Tommy Fleetwood 30-1

Phil Mickelson 30-1

Francesco Molinari 35-1

Tony Finau 35-1

Hideki Matsuyama 40-1

Bryson DeChambeau 40-1

Matt Kuchar 40-1

Paul Casey 50-1

Webb Simpson 50-1

Brandt Snedeker 50-1


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